NFL Week 13 Bettors Guide.

Last Week: 12-4 straight up; 11-5 against the spread.

Past 3 weeks: 30-15-1 straight up; 24-19 against the spread.

Lately I haven't been in too much of a mood to explain myself with these picks but I'm gonna try my best anyway.

Thanksgiving:
Tennessee Titans (-11.5) @ Detroit Lions (1230pm): Something has to give. The Titans haven't failed to cover on the road all year. The Lions haven't failed to cover when they're 10+ point underdogs. I woulda had the Lions covering except the Titans went out and got their asses handed to them by my Jets. Chris Johnson and the running game is gonna have a field day; meanwhile the Titans' defense is gonna take out a lot of frustration. Tennessee 34 Detroit 14

Seattle Seahawks (+12.5) @ Dallas Cowboys (415pm): Dallas is 1-2 ATS when favored by 10+ points; while for Seattle they're 1-0 in this situation. Seattle's actually covered the last three times they've been on the road. The main problem with the Seahawks lately is that they cannot execute down the stretch; they've been playing decent football though. Dallas is desperate to keep pace with the Giants in the division and they'll win yes. But fail to cover. Dallas 27 Seattle 17

Arizona Cardinals (+3) @ Philadelphia Eagles (815pm): Arizona has covered in 5 of their last seven games...however they are 0-3 ATS this year vs. the NFC East; while Philadelphia is 3-0 ATS vs. the NFC West. A lot is at stake for both teams, but with the mini-turmoil going down for Philly with their QB situation, I gotta go with the squad that has less distractions going on. A win for Arizona here gives them the NFC West crown. Both teams will score, but it will be hard for Philly to keep up with the Air Cards. Arizona 31 Philadelphia 24

Sunday 1pm Games:
San Francisco 49ers @ Buffalo Bills (-6.5): It's hard for me to get really excited about either team to be honest. Buffalo though is 2-0 ATS versus traveling West Coast teams (Seattle, San Diego) and with how the NFC West (minus Arizona) is these days, they tend to slack off after a while. Buffalo 24 San Francisco 17

Miami Dolphins (NL) @ St. Louis Rams: There's probably no line on this game yet because quite frankly; it's becoming too easy to bet against the Rams- who have absolutely nothing left in their tank. Miami 28 St. Louis 10

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Bucs (-3.5): The general rule of thumb is within the NFC South, take the home team to win every time. Tampa Bay 24 New Orleans 20

Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers (-3): Green Bay had a perplexing loss to New Orleans on Monday and the most bi-polar team in the NFL has six days to recover from this, facing a Panthers team that has a solid defense, but a truly unremarkable offense. Whoever makes the least mistakes wins. Green Bay 21 Carolina 14

NY Giants (-3.5) @ Washington Redskins: The team on a mission (Giants) takes on a Redskins team that appears to have been figured out. Clinton Portis is gonna get his; but Jason Campbell hasn't really gotten his WRs involved as much as he should. Plus if Jacobs and Plaxico come back, forget about it. It also helps the Giants have won 4 of the last 5 in this series straight up- including 2 straight/ATS at FedEx. NY Giants 24 Washington 13

Baltimore Ravens (-7) @ Cincinnati Bengals: The only question here for me is whether the Ravens' defense will outscore the Bengals. They might. Actually the Bengals' defense has been OK (don't laugh)...it's just that their offense is a complete joke. Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 7

Indianapolis Colts (-5) @ Cleveland Browns: So, Derek Anderson returns as QB for the rest of the season. What does it matter? None. They lost to the Texans for God's sakes. You think Peyton Manning isn't salivating about his prospects to take advantage of this shit secondary? It could be -10 and I'd still take the Colts. Indianapolis 31 Cleveland 17

Sunday 4/815pm Games:
Atlanta Falcons @ San Diego Chargers (-4.5): There comes a time in every team's season where they simply have to take control of their season. Norv Turner has been way too conservative with this team. They're far too talented to be 4-7. I love the Falcons this year but they shouldn't be able to win here. Or can they? I'll probably regret this one. San Diego 28 Atlanta 21

Denver Broncos @ NY Jets (-7.5): I'm gonna finally drink the Kool-Aid here. But that's because Denver's defense is so shitty. If you allow Oakland's offense to rack up 31 points; good luck stopping or even slowing down the AFC's highest scoring offense. Don't get me wrong, the Cutler/Marshall express will get theirs too. But in the end, the Jets win a game they're supposed to...even though they're 0-3 ATS versus the AFC West (inexplicably) this year to this point (they're 7-1 ATS vs. all other divisions). NY Jets 38 Denver 24

Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders (-3): I really am gonna take Oakland to cover here. Why? For one, they completely dominated KC back in week 2 (even though that was eons ago) and KC cannot stop anybody on offense these days. Granted, Oakland doesn't have anywhere close to the firepower of any team in the NFL but fuck it. KC can score themselves, but Oakland's D > KC's D. Yeah I said it, it's gonna be high-scoring lmao. Oakland 27 Kansas City 20

Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots (-1): Really this game could go either way. Matt Cassell is gonna have a hella tough assignment facing this ferocious defense of Pittsburgh's...but if he repeats what Tom Brady did last year...yikes. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh SHOULD be able to move the ball on the Pats' mediocre defense. AOL Keyword: should. I won't be surprised if this game becomes a pick'em by game time but here goes nothing- New England 24 Pittsburgh 21

Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings (-3.5): Good luck trying to figure out the NFC North and especially these two teams. The Vikings' formula is gonna be simple- Adrian Peterson all day everyday. I've semi-given up on the Bears and they are who I thought they were: nothing special. Minnesota 23 Chicago 17

Monday Night Football:
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans (-3): Both teams having disappointing seasons, but the Jags in particular are having a nightmarish season. As a matter of fact, the loser of this one finds themselves in last place. The Texans are favored WTF?? But it's their first ever Monday Night home game in franchise history and at least they've been showing a pulse as of late. The Texans actually have the 4th most productive offense in the NFL and unless the SageCopter comes out- the Texans will finally get their first division win of the season. Houston 27 Jacksonville 14

And so on.