NFL Week 10 Bettors Guide.

I hit a rough patch last week going 3-4. I was most proud of my Philly-Seattle prediction; while I got clowned by Jacksonville and by the Cowboys. Anyways; I'm goin all out this week. Here goes:

Tonight: Denver Broncos (+3) @ Cleveland Browns- It is true teams have caught on to the Jay Cutler-Brandon Marshall express and Cutler has yet to find another receiver (other than Eddie Royal at times) as an alternate option. Denver's defense is porous, however Cleveland's breaking in a new QB tonight (Brady Quinn) and it'll be interesting to see how Cleveland plans to attack that shit defense. Cleveland however is only 1-3 at home and last week allowed the Ravens to put up a 37 spot. Denver will eek out a victory that they desperately need to stay ahead in the muddled AFC West. Denver 27 Cleveland 21

1pm Games:

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Detroit Lions (+6.5)- Fool me once, shame on me...fool me twice, or three times...well yeah you get the picture. Jacksonville is that team you simply cannot trust to win, much less cover, games they're supposed to. They appear off-sync and even though they claim chemistry in the locker room is all good; they just cannot seem to play up to inferior opponents. Detroit's actually been playing better as of late, and yes they've covered 3 of the last 4 opponents they have faced. I remember last week taking the Jags -7 for this week. I regret it now. And I was bold in saying the Lions will get their first victory of the year against them. If I get clowned so be it but here goes: Detroit 23 Jacksonville 20

Tennessee Titans (-3) @ Chicago Bears- To be honest, the Bears could easily be 7-1 or 8-0 themselves. This game is gonna be predicated solely on the run games. Kerry Collins vs. Rex Grossman (if Orton doesn't play) is nothing to get excited about and while they'll have their shots downfield, Collins will have more success, IMO. If Orton does play, a wounded animal vs. this Titans' defense could be bad news. This Titans team doesn't overwhelm you with talent, but they seem to work completely in sync...the anti-Jaguars I call them. Chicago's defense has been worked on the past couple of games and I probably overrated them last week. I won't make the same mistake here: Tennessee 24 Chicago 10

Buffalo Bills (+3.5) @ New England Patriots: Yes, another game which I find to be a risk pick. Although Matt Cassell gains more confidence week by week, the Patriots have their tendencies of being schizo. Had Tom Brady been playing, I believe the Bills would be overmatched, but they are a more improved squad this year...especially with the emergence offensively of Marshawn Lynch and the Edwards-Lee Evans combination which have given teams fits. Darrelle Revis did a fantastic job on Evans last week...but unless Asante Samuels plays, Evans could find himself having a decent day. I'm going with the upset here: Buffalo 24 New England 17

New Orleans Saints (+1) @ Atlanta Falcons: What a difference a year, and a coach can make. The mess that was the Atlanta Falcons is no more and they've proven a LOT of people wrong thus far, especially on offense with runaway Rookie of the Year Matt Ryan. Although the Saints are still banged up, there is no quarterback that distributes the ball more evenly than Drew Brees. As my boy told me, he's the Steve Nash of the NFL. Defense isn't gonna be a priority with this one, as the Falcons look to run all day and Saints look to throw all day. I think NO gets the better of this one however. New Orleans 31 Atlanta 27

St. Louis Rams (+9) @ New York Jets: I should be ashamed in myself for once again betting against my own team to cover. There's no question the Rams have improved (aside from the shellacking they took from Arizona) and they are 2-1 ATS thus far in the East. The Jets' defense has been surprisingly stout and with Brett Favre you never know what to expect from him. If Thomas Jones gets more carries and Favre makes good decisions the Jets should have no issues but...they are the Jets. They'll win but the Rams will cover barely. New York 28 St. Louis 20

Seattle Seahawks @ Miami Dolphins (-8.5): To be frank, I'm stunned Miami is this much of a favorite. But I'm taking it because three things: 1) Seattle in their last 1pm games to the East have been outscored 78-16. 2) This team looks like they've already waved the white flag and are just decimated with injuries. 3) The Wildcat is gonna give them some serious issues defensively. The Dolphins, yes Dolphins...should have no problem in this one. Miami 31 Seattle 13

Green Bay Packers (+2.5) @ Minnesota Vikings: The NFC North is so difficult to figure out to me and no one has risen above the pack (no pun intended) yet. One thing I know for sure is that the Packers have covered 4 of the last 5 times they've played Minnesota and have won 5 in a row against them. It will be another close, tight one as these games always play themselves out to be and the Packers will emerge victorious...again. Green Bay 17 Minnesota 14

Baltimore Ravens (-1) @ Houston Texans: Houston's done a relatively good job at home (3-1 and could realistically be 4-0) and had this game been played the week Hurricane Ike hit town, I woulda had them winning this game. With that said however, the Ravens are another team playing extremely well on both sides of the ball and are a darkhorse pick of mine (as of now) to make some noise in the AFC playoffs this year. The Texans will be without Matt Schuab for this one and with Sage "wanna-be Elway" in the house, the Ravens should tee off. Joe Flacco is building hella confidence in the offense as well. Baltimore 28 Houston 17

4pm/815pm Games:

Carolina Panthers (-9.5) @ Oakland Raiders: Oakland has a horrible history vs. interconference opponents the past couple of years...and so far this year it hasn't been any different, with the Saints and Falcons outscoring them 55-3 in their two defeats. It doesn't get any easier with a Carolina team finally beginning to hit their stride. If Julius Peppers plays on top of that, it'll be an even longer day for Oakland...not like this week hasn't been rough already releasing Javon Walker and DeAngelo Hall. Lord have mercy on the Raiders. Their best chance of scoring this Sunday might be if they let Sebastian Janikowski kick a 66 yarder or some shit. Carolina 31 Oakland 0

Kansas City Chiefs (+15.5) @ San Diego Chargers: The Chiefs, although 1-7...have been spread-covering beasts when given this many points, going 4-0 thus far when placed as more than a 9 point underdog (Pats, Broncos (only W), Jets, Bucs). San Diego is another team that is hard to figure out...will arguably the most talented team in the AFC go out and napalm their opponents (Jets, Patriots) or will they lay eggs (Buffalo, Miami, Carolina)? They shouldn't have a problem with the Larry Johnson-less Chiefs...but the Chiefs will once again cover. Plus, the Chiefs have given them fits, including a 30-16 shocker at SD last year. San Diego 27 Kansas City 17

Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers (NL): This game is currently off the board because of the uncertain status of Ben Roethlisberger, who left the game last week @ Washington after reinjuring his separated right (throwing) shoulder. Nevertheless, if this game comes on the boards, it'll be a good time to pick Pittsburgh. They have the NFL's top defense, allowing a shade under 235 yards/game...and although the Colts shredded the Ravens at the time they had the best D, it does look bleak here. Byron Leftwich is a capable backup who filled in admirably last week. Lastly, the Colts are a mere 1-9 all-time @ Pittsburgh, not winning there since 1968. It's weird fathoming the Colts at 4-5 and all but done with the division race but that's the harsh reality: Pittsburgh 24 Indianapolis 14

New York Giants (+3) @ Philadelphia Eagles: The Giants with the league's toughest sked from this point forward have done just fine thus far in their gauntlet. It won't be easy facing McNabb, Westbrook and company but the Giants have had success, including at the Linc where they've won straight-up 2 years in a row in the regular season. Eli Manning has benefitted from a fantastic running game featuring Jacobs and Derrick Ward but they will be tested against the Eagles' above average defense. If Eli can handle the blitz packages Philly will be throwing all night, the Giants' got this. Another thing, no I don't think the Eagles will allow 12 sacks again. But that Giants' pass rush has been killin it. New York 28 Philadelphia 21

Monday: San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals (-9.5): If Mike Singletary would rather play with 10 men on the field, so be it. He could put 12 on the field on defense on Monday and it will not matter. This Cardinals' offense is explosive and the team in general has a confidence and swagger rarely seen from this franchise. The 49ers will be starting Shaun Hill at quarterback and he is gonna have difficulty because you already know the Cardinals are gonna focus on stopping Frank Gore (whom they held in check for the most part in their last meeting- a 23-13 victory). It will be a long night for SF and there'll be no worries about a Dennis Green "Crown their Ass " postgame press conference...other than crowning the Cardinals the de facto NFC West champs. Arizona 38 San Francisco 10

And so on.