Friday, November 28, 2008

The Clutchness of the Gambling Gods III.

I did win $200 earlier this week on a 6-teamer and since then my confidence has been soaring:

176ers(Philadelphia) 1stHalf 41
1Bobcats(Charlotte) 1stHalf 41 11/24/08(19:10 ET)
1Bobcats(Charlotte) +1.5

176ers(Philadelphia) 1stHalf 41
1Bobcats(Charlotte) 1stHalf 41 11/24/08(19:10 ET)
Under 90

1Bucks(Milwaukee) 1stHalf 47
1Magic(Orlando) 1stHalf 58 11/24/08(19:10 ET)
1Magic(Orlando) -5

1Bucks(Milwaukee) 1stHalf 47
1Magic(Orlando) 1stHalf 58 11/24/08(19:10 ET)
Over 97

1Rockets(Houston) 1stHalf 56
1Heat(Miami) 1stHalf 48 11/24/08(19:40 ET)
1Rockets(Houston) -1.5

1Rockets(Houston) 1stHalf 56
1Heat(Miami) 1stHalf 48 11/24/08(19:40 ET)
Over 95

I was never really threatened in this parlay. My risk pick was taking the Bobcats to cover and I was pretty surprised that they did, I'm not gonna lie. But the thing is...they're actually very reliable on covering first half point spreads for some reason.

I cashed that out minus $20 (as any smart man in my position would do). The Gods would get their revenge though in a myriad of ways. Example 1:

Parlay (3 Teams) 11/25/08 00:25 ET
bet 15.00 to win 90.00 Result: Wager Lost
Navy 16
NIllinois 0 11/25/08(19:10 ET)
Over 51

WMichigan 22
BallSt 45 11/25/08(19:10 ET)
BallSt -10.5

WMichigan 22
BallSt 45 11/25/08(19:10 ET)
Over 53

I was under the impression that both defenses were mediocre; which really didn't turn out to be the case at all. A gross miscalculation on my part- since I ravaged the Ball State game pretty easily.

Example 2:

Parlay (5 Teams) 11/26/08 10:31 ET
bet 6.00 to win 143.00 Result: Wager Lost
Cardinals(Arizona) 20
Eagles(Philadelphia) 48 11/27/08(20:20 ET)
Over 47

Seahawks(Seattle) 9
Cowboys(Dallas) 34 11/27/08(16:35 ET)
Seahawks(Seattle) +12.5

Seahawks(Seattle) 9
Cowboys(Dallas) 34 11/27/08(16:35 ET)
Under 46.5

Titans(Tennessee) 47
Lions(Detroit) 10 11/27/08(12:40 ET)
Titans(Tennessee) -11 (-115)

Titans(Tennessee) 47
Lions(Detroit) 10 11/27/08(12:40 ET)
Over 44

There was no doubt about the Tennessee game. The O/U was put at 44 because they'd figure it'd be a 34-7 game or some shit like that but I wasn't fallin for it. I'm just upset that Seattle simply didn't come to play in the first half of the Cowboys game because in the 2nd half they played OK. Julius Jones' fumble in Cowboys' territory on the Seahawks' first possession really was what did me in; because after that the Boys drove down the field, made it 14-0 and was a wrap from there.

Example 3:

Parlay (6 Teams) 11/28/08 14:22 ET
bet 5.00 to win 232.05 Result: Wager Lost
1Duquesne 1stHalf 32
1Duke 1stHalf 52 11/28/08(15:05 ET)
1Duke -11.5

1Duquesne 1stHalf 32
1Duke 1stHalf 52 11/28/08(15:05 ET)
Over 75.5

1Oklahoma 1stHalf 36
1Purdue 1stHalf 40 11/28/08(16:00 ET)
1Purdue -0.5 (-115)

1Oklahoma 1stHalf 36
1Purdue 1stHalf 40 11/28/08(16:00 ET)
Under 65

1UTEP 1stHalf 33
1WakeForest 1stHalf 42 11/28/08(15:55 ET)
1WakeForest -5

1UTEP 1stHalf 33
1WakeForest 1stHalf 42 11/28/08(15:55 ET)
Over 71.5

This one was tough for me to handle. The irony here is that Purdue was behind for a while, but they went ahead...yet in the process both teams began scoring quite a bit. As I placed this bet, the O/U shifted from 64 to 65. I shoulda took that as a hint to take the over but I did not.

Example 4:

Parlay (8 Teams) 11/28/08 17:13 ET
bet 5.00 to win 750.00 Result: Wager Lost
176ers(Philadelphia) 1stHalf 28
1Celtics(Boston) 1stHalf 46 11/28/08(19:40 ET)
Over 94.5

1Bobcats(Charlotte) 1stHalf 53
1Pacers(Indiana) 1stHalf 48 11/28/08(20:10 ET)
Over 95.5

1Bucks(Milwaukee) 1stHalf 49
1Pistons(Detroit) 1stHalf 62 11/28/08(20:10 ET)
1Pistons(Detroit) -5

1Bucks(Milwaukee) 1stHalf 49
1Pistons(Detroit) 1stHalf 62 11/28/08(20:10 ET)
Over 94

1Hawks(Atlanta) 1stHalf 50
1Raptors(Toronto) 1stHalf 46 11/28/08(19:10 ET)
Under 100.5

1Heat(Miami) 1stHalf 57
1Suns(Phoenix) 1stHalf 44 11/28/08(20:15 ET)
Over 99

1TWolves(Minnesota) 1stHalf 44
1Thunder(OklahomaCity) 1stHalf 48 11/28/08(20:10 ET)
Under 95.5

1Warriors(GoldenState) 1stHalf 52
1Cavaliers(Cleveland) 1stHalf 58 11/28/08(19:40 ET)
Over 109

What an erroneous error on my part going for the Sixers-Celtics over. The thing was though, Boston had been slacking on defense recently. But I should have figured that the Sixers suck at scoring. The Gods just to spite me have the Warriors-Cavs game barely go over (win) shit. Everything else was relatively safe.

Total I barely missed out this week: $1,215.05

And so on.

No comments: