Sunday, January 18, 2009

NFL Championship Weekend Bettors Guide.

Last weekend: 2-2 straight up and ATS. Overall: 4-4 straight up and ATS.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Arizona Cardinals (+3.5)- The Eagles destroyed the Cards in the last meeting 48-20 but keep these things in mind: 1) Arizona was traveling out east and 2) Philadelphia had just gotten humiliated the week before by the Ravens 36-7 and was just waiting to take it out on somebody. Nightmares for the Birds. Philly hasn't been that impressive to be honest in their 2 victories especially on the offensive side of the ball. They were able to take advantage of two run-first teams and very ineffective QB play by the future hall-of-famer Tavares Jackson and Eli Manning who can't play in the Meadowlands for shit. The Air Cards and Kurt Warner will provide a much tougher challenge this weekend and their o-line has done a great job up to this point. The key here for Philly is keeping the Cards off the field and having someone other than Desean Jackson and Brian Westbrook step up. Donovan McNabb did a masterful job on 3rd downs last week- and that was the difference in the Giants game. Random fact: The Cards have a +7 turnover ratio in these playoffs. The Cards may not stop the Eagles, but the Eagles aren't gonna stop the Cards either. High scoring duel in the desert: Arizona 31 Philadelphia 24

Baltimore Ravens (+6) @ Pittsburgh Steelers: Considering the Steelers only won by a combined 7 points in the two meetings they had this year...I'm shocked this is the spread. Ravens are 5-1 SU in their last 6 road playoff games...while the Steelers are 6-1 in their last 7 home playoff games. These teams are about as evenly matched as you're gonna find in football and know each other's tendencies so well. The over/under is 34 but I seriously doubt it's even gonna come close to scratching that surface. The Steelers won their game against the Chargers because they imposed their will on them in the 3rd quarter (and getting fortunate with 2 turnovers to boot). The Ravens bent against the Titans...but when push came to shove they won the turnover battle 3-0. I don't even need to get into all the specs since they've been pounded to yall a million and one times. Just know this: Ed Reed is the best defensive player in the NFL. Baltimore 14 Pittsburgh 10

And so on.

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