NFL Week 13 Bettors Guide.

A perfect Thanksgiving...but a nightmarish Sunday/Monday ATS left me at:

Last Week: 11-5 Straight Up; 6-9-1 Against The Spread
Overall: 105-54 Straight Up; 81-76-2 Against The Spread.

I had predicted Baltimore covering the 7.5 and winning 24-10 on my Facebook by the way (they won 20-17 in OT).

New York Jets (-3) @ Buffalo Bills- in Toronto: My boys SHOULD win this game. We outplayed them in every facet of the game except for three: Turnovers, Penalties, and the Final Score. Mark Sanchez will not throw 5 INTs in a game again at least this season and with the environment being more controlled at the Rogers Centre than it would have been at Ralph Wilson Stadium...he'll be a better game manager. Bills have been playing better but in the end: NY Jets 21 Buffalo 13

Detroit Lions (+13) @ Cincinnati Bengals: The Bengals haven't been handling prosperity the best. They lost straight up at Oakland and couldn't cover TWICE against the Browns. Playing down to the level of their competition perhaps? The Lions' D is dreadful sure and the Bengals will likely be content at running it down their throats all day...but the Lions do have an extra 3 days off which should pay off in a cover. Cincinnati 28 Detroit 17

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs (+5): Just when it looks like we see the Broncos get back on track...a division game that has trap written all over it. With the Chargers riding high and peaking at the right time the Broncos need to keep pace. Problem is with a team like Kansas City who can play spoiler, you never know what to expect. They can get annihilated (last week), keep it too close for comfort (Dallas) or even beat you (Pittsburgh). I'm gonna go with Choice 3 since they don't have back to back clunkers. Upset City as KC wins their 2nd straight home game following 11 consecutive home losses. Kansas City 23 Denver 20

Houston Texans (PK) @ Jacksonville Jaguars: Here's the Texans' mantra: get to unprecedented levels, play in the "biggest games in franchise history", fall short and back below .500, and then tease us with a strong finish when it's too late. Watch them win this game. Houston 27 Jacksonville 21

Oakland Raiders (+14.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers: The Raiders have not fared well at all in their 1pm games this year...being outscored 73-13 by the Texans and Giants. The one caveat is that you're looking at a Steelers team that has only covered four times themselves (vs. SD, MIN; @ DEN, BAL). As a double digit favorite this year the Steelers are 0-3 ATS. Oakland should be able to move the ball JUST enough to cover...Roethlisberger will be back and lead the defending champs to an easy victory but yet another missed cover. Pittsburgh 24 Oakland 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) @ Carolina Panthers: As long as Jake Delhomme is under center, the Panthers cannot be trusted. The Bucs tried very hard last week in Atlanta and even took Matt Ryan & Michael Turner out...but it wasn't meant to be. Look for a similar performance here. Carolina will run the ball and do so efficiently but Josh Freeman will keep them in it. Carolina 20 Tampa Bay 16

Tennessee Titans (+7) @ Indianapolis Colts: This is the sexy underdog pick of the week for many and who can blame them? The Titans have won 5 in a row; the Colts have already clinched a playoff berth (and with a win + CIN + SD loss they clinch home field also) and other than a perfect season don't have much incentive left. Titans definitely cover after that humiliation they received from Indy at home...but Peyton Manning shows why he is THE MAN. Indianapolis 24 Tennessee 21

New Orleans Saints @ Washington Redskins (+9.5): Drew Brees & company made me look retarded last week by humiliating the Patriots. However this is one of those games that has LETDOWN written all over it especially coming off such an emotional victory. Although they've seem to have gotten back to their early season form; remember after they smacked the Giants the following week they started off very flat at Miami before that insane comeback. The Redskins may be able to take advantage just long enough to get a cover. New Orleans 30 Washington 23

New England Patriots (-4) @ Miami Dolphins: The rule applies- Pats don't lose back-to-back games. New England 31 Miami 20

St. Louis Rams @ Chicago Bears (-9): Only reason why the Bears cover is that the Rams don't have anyone on defense to catch Jay Cutler's passes. Chicago 34 St. Louis 17

Philadelphia Eagles @ Atlanta Falcons (+5.5): Not having DeSean Jackson WILL hurt this big play offense and hell, I'm even tempted to believe that Chris Redman can pull out another one. But when the dust settles...it's a little too much to ask and the Dirty Birds lose their first home game of the season. Philadelphia 21 Atlanta 20

San Diego Chargers (-13) @ Cleveland Browns: HELP!! San Diego 31 Cleveland 3

San Francisco 49ers (PK) @ Seattle Seahawks: Zzzzzzzzzzzz... San Francisco 21 Seattle 14

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants (+1.5): This is the STAY AWAY FROM game of the week. The Cowboys and their December swoons are well documented; meanwhile the Giants are now in desperation mode. With the extra three days to prepare I look for them to get back to basics and pull this one out because it's at home. But BEWARE. NY Giants 27 Dallas 23

Minnesota Vikings (-4) @ Arizona Cardinals: They flexed this game to Sunday Night Football. I guess they figured it'd be more entertaining than the Patriots-Dolphins and yes it is, both on paper and in gameplay. Two small problems. 1) Vikings are playing the best football in the NFL. 2) Cardinals are a bad home team somehow. Vikings all day. Minnesota 31 Arizona 17

Baltimore Ravens @ Green Bay Packers (-3): Sometimes I wonder about the Ravens. Still a very solid defense...but they couldn't get to Dennis Dixon last Sunday night. Aaron Rodgers if he has time can make mockeries of secondaries. Both teams have been disappointing most certainly but I gotta give the home team the edge here. Green Bay 23 Baltimore 17

And so on.