Wednesday, November 25, 2009

NFL Week 12 Bettors Guide.

I didn't get to add the San Diego @ Denver game to the blog...but I posted it on my Facebook having the Chargers covering the 5.5 and winning 24-10 (they won 32-3). Therefore:

Last week: 11-5 straight up & 7-9 against the spread
Overall: 94-49 straight up & 75-67-1 against the spread

Green Bay Packers (-11.5) @ Detroit Lions: Being forced to play Daunte Culpepper is not gonna be a pretty sight. As long as Aaron Rodgers gets some protection, he will have no problem with a defense that allowed the Browns to nearly equal their touchdown total ALL SEASON. Green Bay 34 Detroit 17

Oakland Raiders @ Dallas Cowboys (-13.5): The Raiders in the game immediately following a win have gotten outscored 61-3. The Cowboys in their past 3 Thanksgiving games have won 38-10, 34-3 and 34-9. You do the math. Dallas 31 Oakland 8

New York Giants @ Denver Broncos (+6.5): The Broncos are in a free-fall for the ages, having lost their last four games all by a combined 117-37. The Giants snapped their losing streak..albeit barely in an overtime win last week. I look for the Broncos sensing desperation to bounce back on the defensive side of the ball while doing just enough on offense against the suddenly vulnerable Giants' D to pull off the upset. Denver 21 NY Giants 17

Miami Dolphins (-3) @ Buffalo Bills: The Bills showed some signs of life last week, nearly pulling off the SU upset before the Jags stole one. With that being said, it won't be cold enough yet in Buffalo for the Fins to be too concerned...they'll be able to control the clock. Miami 23 Buffalo 14

Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams (+3): Not having Marc Bulger hurts...but in all honesty what difference has that made in the past couple years? The Seahawks are absolutely nothing special and with the feistiness the Rams have shown the past three games LOOK OUT. They will be rewarded for this. St. Louis 21 Seattle 14

Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles (-9): 2 words for you- Big Play. That's what the Eagles can do, while the Redskins cannot. Anyone have any idea who the Redskins' starting RB is gonna be for this Sunday anyway. The Redskins' above average D can only do so much. Philadelphia 24 Washington 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (-11.5): I tried...But I no longer can. Besides, Atlanta is a different beast at home. Atlanta 31 Tampa Bay 7

Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) @ Houston Texans: Those demoralizing losses take a toll on you (ask the Jets last week) and after a couple of close calls, the Colts will have an easier time this Sunday than what most people believe. Indianapolis 30 Houston 21

Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals (-14): We discovered that in fact...the Browns DO have an offense. Although they did score 20 on the Bengals in Week 2 as well, that I believe was an abomination also. We now return to your regularly scheduled programming already in progress. Cincinnati 24 Cleveland 6

Carolina Panthers (+3) @ New York Jets: Carolina isn't a good road team (and frankly besides the undefeated Saints, none of them in the AFC South are) but not only do they have the extra 3 days of rest, but they are certainly less dysfunctional than my boys are. Carolina 23 NY Jets 20

Jacksonville Jaguars @ San Francisco 49ers (-3): Zzzzzzzzzz... San Francisco 17 Jacksonville 10

Kansas City Chiefs (+13.5) @ San Diego Chargers: The Chargers have been on a tear, playing football as a very high level...and they might take the Chiefs lightly in this one. Not to mention, the Chiefs are very very good covering the spread when given this many points. San Diego 27 Kansas City 17

Arizona Cardinals (+3) @ Tennessee Titans: The Cards are COMPLETELY different when Kurt Warner plays as opposed to Matt Leinart. They ran out to a 21-3 lead on the hapless Rams before Warner left, but stagnated with Leinart playing in the 2nd half. They are fortunate that Warner is playing in this one. The electrifying duo of Vince Young and Chris Johnson will give them fits, but the Cards will exploit the Titans through the air and snap the winning streak. Arizona 27 Tennessee 21

Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings (-10.5): I'm still waiting for the other shoe to drop for Brett Favre. It won't be this week. Minnesota's swarming defense will force Jay Cutler into mistakes and turn this one ugly. Minnesota 31 Chicago 13

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens I will get back to when we get word on Roethlisberger.

New England Patriots (+3) @ New Orleans Saints: The Patriots are on a roll as much as I hate to admit it. Keep in mind that they had the Colts down at Indy 31-14 in the fourth before blowing it. They can easily do the same thing here against a Saints defense that's opportunistic...but vulnerable. You want to know how to slow down Drew Brees? Watch Jets-Saints film from Week 4. New England 31 New Orleans 21

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