Thursday, November 19, 2009

NFL Week 11 Bettors Guide.

Arguably my best week of the year this past week...and I forgot to do Bears-49ers...which I would have guessed correctly also but it's all good. Let's keep up the momentum.

Last Week: 10-4 straight up & against the spread.
Overall: 83-44 straight up & 68-58-1 against the spread.

Miami Dolphins @ Carolina Panthers (-3.5): No Ronnie Brown for the rest of the season will throw this offense out of whack. Chad Henne will be forced to make plays that Jake Delhomme won't have to...and that's the difference tonight. Carolina 24 Miami 13

Buffalo Bills (+9) @ Jacksonville Jaguars: This is a game that Jacksonville should have no problem with...which means you gotta go against them at least spread-wise. In theory, MJD should have a field day with this Bills' sieve D...meanwhile with Ryan Fitzpatrick starting for the Bills it should be a nightmare...but... Jacksonville 23 Buffalo 17

Pittsburgh Steelers (-10) @ Kansas City Chiefs: Ehh. The Steelers coming off a frustrating loss should take it out on the Chiefs...who seemingly disappear the game after winning one. Pittsburgh 27 Kansas City 10

Indianapolis Colts (-1) @ Baltimore Ravens: If Peyton can come back from 31-14 in the 4th quarter at home to beat the Patriots...he shouldn't have too much issue with these Ravens; who looked very unimpressive last week at Cleveland on the offensive side of the ball. Indy still has home-field to play for and while Baltimore should be desperate here...I don't see them getting the job done. Indianapolis 28 Baltimore 20

Seattle Seahawks @ Minnesota Vikings (-11): Seahawks are traveling...you know what that means. Minnesota 38 Seattle 7

Atlanta Falcons (+6.5) @ New York Giants: I never feel comfortable with the Giants and a big spread...especially in a game that is so important for both. The bye came at the perfect time for the G-Men as they were reeling heavily- particularly on defense. The Falcons meanwhile have regressed along with Matt Ryan's sophomore slump. The question is will Michael Turner play? If he doesn't I may lay the points on the Giants but for now I'll assume he does. NY Giants 27 Atlanta 21

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+11.5): Yeah I'm doing this. The Bucs have looked like a team the past couple of weeks...while the Saints have appeared to have reached their peak. While I don't believe that Drew Brees & company can be stopped by the Bucs' D; I don't see the Saints running away with it either. Josh Freeman has avoided making mistakes, and as long as he doesn't get baited by Darren Sharper & the ballhawking defense...the Bucs will cover. New Orleans 35 Tampa Bay 28

Cleveland Browns @ Detroit Lions (-3.5): The STUPOR BOWL. UNDER CITY USA LIVES HERE. Put it to you this way: the O/U is 38. The Browns have scored 29 TOTAL in their last 5 games. But hey...the Browns beat the Lions in preseason 27-10... What I Miss??? Detroit 13 Cleveland 3

San Francisco 49ers (+6.5) @ Green Bay Packers: The Pack had an excellent bounce back victory against the Cowboys which arguably was their best defensive performance of the season (the Browns are not an NFL team). The Niners were excellent themselves defensively in taking out the Bears. With that said, I do expect a tighter than expected game...UPSET CITY. San Francisco 20 Green Bay 17

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys (-11): 11 points is a lot...but Romo and the Boys play much better at home offensively, and after that bad loss to Green Bay last week they will take it out on the disappointing Skins. Dallas 31 Washington 17

Arizona Cardinals (-9) @ St. Louis Rams: The Cards for some odd reason are 4-0 on the road and have scored 24+ in each of them. The Rams have been trying hard the past couple of weeks but they just run into a buzzsaw Sunday. Arizona 38 St. Louis 20

New York Jets (+10.5) @ New England Patriots: 10.5?? Really? Only three Jets games all season have been decided in double digits. The Jets have won SU 2 of the last 3 years in NE and covered in the other meeting as a 20 point underdog in 2007 (20-10). Both teams are seething. I understand Brady rarely ever loses back-to-back games and that's fine and good but have some respect. New England 27 NY Jets 21

Cincinnati Bengals (-9.5) @ Oakland Raiders: Kiss the Baby Jamarcus Russell. Bruce Gradkowski starts. What does that mean? The Raiders MIGHT be in contention to cover...for a full half instead of the first quarter. Cincinnati 31 Oakland 10

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears (+3): The Eagles are the better team no doubt. However, I just have a feeling that in front of a nationally televised audience and to mainly save face, Jay Cutler will have one of his best performances of the year. Chicago 27 Philadelphia 23

Tennessee Titans (+4.5) @ Houston Texans: Something has to give. Vince Young is a winner...and he returns back home to Texas where he feels right at home. The Texans have never lost when featured on Prime Time. One thing's for sure tho and that's that Reliant Stadium will be host to OVER CITY. The ability for the Titans to slow the game down a tad more than the Texans wlll be the difference on Monday. Tennessee 31 Houston 28

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