NFL Week 10. Bettors Guide.

An unusual week...as I actually did better against the spread than I did straight up; but got back above .500.

Last Week: 7-6 straight up & 9-4 against the spread
Overall: 73-40 straight up & 58-54-1 against the spread

New Orleans Saints (-14) @ St. Louis Rams: You can't be serious. New Orleans 42 St. Louis 13

Jacksonville Jaguars (+6) @ New York Jets: With Jacksonville you don't know what to expect...hence why they are 4-4. Same thing with my boys; who in their four losses have seen one facet of their game totally disappear whether it's offense (Buffalo, @ New Orleans), defense (@ Miami) or special teams (Miami). Coming off a bye, my guys should be fresh and ready to go but this will be a closer one than what fans want to see...however, with New England coming up, a win is a win. NY Jets 21 Jacksonville 17

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers (+1.5): The Panthers have been playing better lately and it's because they've finally gone back to their bread & butter- the run game. They've also been more aggressive defensively. The Falcons don't travel all that well. This is a crucial game for them to keep pace in the Wild Card hunt but they will fail to get the job done here. Carolina 23 Atlanta 20

Buffalo Bills @ Tennessee Titans (-7): The Bills get Trent Edwards back. Won't matter. Their defense, albeit opportunistic is SLOW...and is susceptible to getting hammered especially against the run. The Jets gashed them for 318 yards and now they get to face the NFL's leading rusher in Chris Johnson. NIGHTMARES. No Music City Miracle required this go-around. Tennessee 27 Buffalo 17

Detroit Lions (+16.5) @ Minnesota Vikings: As good as the Vikings have been this season, the Lions are still a team that as long as they're healthy offensively can give other teams fits. Plus, this is the second half of the season and we know about the Vikes' notorious 2nd half collapses. Won't happen this Sunday at all (TAKE THE OVER at 47)...but just be weary in point spread land as the Lions have corralled Adrian Peterson in the past. Minnesota 34 Detroit 21

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-7): Seven points is A LOT. But it actually makes sense. The Bengals barely beat the Steelers minus Troy Polamalu at home after the Steelers came apart in the second half of that game. I can't see the Bengals sweeping them either. Even on a short week look for Big Ben & company to dissect this much improved defense...while slowing down Cedric Benson. Pittsburgh 28 Cincinnati 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+10) @ Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins are just dreadful at covering huge spreads. Tampa has some rare momentum after their upset of the week last week and I look for them to continue playing hard here. Miami 24 Tampa Bay 21

Denver Broncos @ Washington Redskins (+3.5): Maybe it's my blind disdain for the Broncos but they have disappeared on the offensive side of the ball. The Redskins do actually have a defense...it's just that their offensively inept. This game screams the UNDER 37. I actually give the Skins the edge (even minus Clinton Portis) since the Broncos are traveling on a short week and the last time they were on the Beltway it didn't end so well. Washington 17 Denver 14

Kansas City Chiefs (+2) @ Oakland Raiders: The game of the weak. UNDER 36.5 ALL. DAY. AND. ALL. NIGHT. Kansas City 17 Oakland 10

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals (-8.5): Why the Cardinals are only 1-3 at home is baffling...but they're facing a Seattle team they had no problems dispatching on the road AS A 3 POINT UNDERDOG. Vegas was on crack that week, this time...not so much. Sensing the 49ers still lurking in the division, look for a beatdown. Arizona 34 Seattle 14

Dallas Cowboys (-3) @ Green Bay Packers: As long as Perez Hilton could penetrate that offensive line (and no not in that fashion) of Green Bay's...I can't take Green Bay all that seriously. The Cowboys are in their perennial November surge where everything is clicking. Romo isn't making mistakes and their defense has stepped it up a couple notches. Dallas 27 Green Bay 21

Philadelphia Eagles @ San Diego Chargers (-1): The Eagles were exposed last week as a big-play team. When you can't hit the home run, they are pedestrian at best. The Chargers are peaking at the right time and suddenly not only find themselves in great shape in the playoff hunt, but right there in the division with Denver. Look for Rivers to continue his strong play and have a big day. San Diego 31 Philadelphia 21

New England Patriots (+2.5) @ Indianapolis Colts: The game of the week. I'd avoid this game at ALL COSTS but I have to make an educated guess. How Peyton Manning is still able to do it is a testament to him being the smartest QB in the NFL hands down. The Patriots however are playing much better football lately and with several huge matchups upcoming do not for one second believe that they won't be focused. I'd actually flirt with the under here since both defenses seem to know each other well...unfortunately I see the Colts' 17 game winning streak come to an end. New England 24 Indianapolis 21

Baltimore Ravens (-11) @ Cleveland Browns: The last time the Browns had a Monday night game at home, bettors had epic nightmares as not only did the Browns upset the Giants but they walloped them 35-14. Well, don't worry about that this time. Welcome to Under City, USA. Baltimore 27 Cleveland 7