Saturday, January 2, 2010

NFL Week 17 Bettors Guide.

Let's finish strong and with a winning ATS record. Last week I got too cute with some upset specials that didn't come close ha.

Lat week: 8-8 straight up; 9-7 against the spread.
Overall: 144-80 straight up; 111-108-4 against the spread.

All odds courtesy of Oddsmaker.

New York Giants @ Minnesota Vikings (-7.5): Both teams are limping down the stretch. However two things. First, the Giants sounded after last week that they just want the season to end now. Secondly, the Vikings are much better at home than on the road. AP will have a field day. Minnesota 31 NY Giants 17

Indianapolis Colts @ Buffalo Bills (-8): I doubt the Indy starters even see the field. Curtis Painter looked god-awful against my boys last week and although the Bills' defense is bleh...he's no Peyton Manning so whatever. Buffalo 24 Indianapolis 10

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) @ Miami Dolphins: The Steelers will win this game & then kick themselves for losing games to OAK, KC and CLE. Pittsburgh 23 Miami 16

San Francisco 49ers @ St. Louis Rams (+8): Singletary's boys will be looking to finish strong and with a .500 season. They will accomplish this. However, it is disturbing to know that in wins against Arizona & Detroit they have forced 13 combined turnovers and yet have only won 24-9 and 20-6 respectively (barely covering against DET). The Rams will play hard & cover. San Francisco 20 St. Louis 14

New England Patriots (+7) @ Houston Texans: I honestly do believe that Belichick will play his starters throughout this game unless he finds that Houston jumps to another quick lead (i.e. 21-0). It's a huge game for the Texans' franchise as not only do they still hold hopes for a playoff berth, but also their first ever above .500 season. You know how the Texans do tho. New England 27 Houston 23

Chicago Bears (-3) @ Detroit Lions: The Bears are who we thought they were. Makes sense that the spread is weighted -125. Chicago 24 Detroit 17

New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers (-7): With the way the Panthers are finishing up this season, combined with the immortal Mark Brunell starting for NO...this is the lock of the week. Carolina 31 New Orleans 13

Atlanta Falcons (-1.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Both teams are finishing strong but let's be real we know who the better team is. Take the under all day. Atlanta 21 Tampa Bay 14

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cleveland Browns (-1): Did I just do that??? Hey look, the Browns have won 3 straight games and in fact have not allowed an offensive TD in their last 2 home games. With how shitty the Jags looked up north at New England last week, you must take the under at the minimum. Low 20s and snow showers screams Browns football ALL DAY. Cleveland 13 Jacksonville 7

Green Bay Packers @ Arizona Cardinals (-3.5): If this were a game in the middle of the season I'd probably look for the Packers' upset but since they're stuck in the #5 spot & may even return to play the same Cardinals team next week they don't have much to play for outside of momentum. Arizona 27 Green Bay 17

Kansas City Chiefs (+11) @ Denver Broncos: No Brandon Marshall security blanket for Kyle Orton huh? The Cowboys get all the notoriety for choking in December...but the Broncos have been pretty bad themselves. Not saying Denver loses this game...but CAREFUL. Denver 20 Kansas City 17

Baltimore Ravens @ Oakland Raiders (+10.5): Last year, the Raiders did the near-impossible. 14 point underdogs traveling 3,000 miles east to take on a squad (Tampa Bay) and given no chance whatsoever...yet they pull off the upset perhaps of the year. The Ravens are in that same category. This year, OAK is 4-1 SU/ATS as an underdog of 9 or more which means they step up to the level of competition. LOOK OUT. Oakland 21 Baltimore 17

Tennessee Titans (-5.5) @ Seattle Seahawks: Give Chris Johnson his 2,000 yard season against a team that has all but packed it up this season. Tennessee 27 Seattle 14

Philadelphia Eagles (+3) @ Dallas Cowboys: The Eagles sit at the 2 seed right now...but would drop to 6 with a loss and catapult the Cowboys to as high as #2 if the right breaks fall. Don't count on it tho. Philadelphia 24 Dallas 21

Washington Redskins @ San Diego Chargers (-4): There's a reason why even with a bye and being stuck with the #2 seed that the Chargers are STILL favored. Do you trust the Redskins...or rather Deadskins on the road whatsoever?? Plus, the Chargers like to go into the playoffs with momentum so their starters will play enough to make the cover a non issue. San Diego 30 Washington 16

Cincinnati Bengals (+10) @ New York Jets: All bets are off if the Pats pull out the victory in Houston...since the Bengals will be locked into the #4 seed. If the Patriots lose however, I can see Marvin Lewis getting aggressive. Being the cynic that I am, I do NOT trust my boys EVER and with night time lows in the mid 20s...NIGHTMARES for Sanchez. The run game better be cranked up. No way we cover unless CIN pulls their starters. This game may give me heart palpitations honestly. NY Jets 17 Cincinnati 14

1 comment:

Maroussia said...

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