Saturday, January 9, 2010

NFL Wild Card Bettors Guide.

Last Week: 10-6 straight up & 9-6-1 against the spread.
Season: 154-86 straight up & 120-114-5 against the spread.

Not bad...but now it's hammer time.

New York Jets (+2.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals: Not even being a homer here...but where do people get this idea that the Bengals are "far superior" to the Jets?? Look closely to the Bengals' 10 wins. EIGHT of them are by single digits and the 9th was a 10 point win over Detroit at home. Carson Palmer is supposed to be the "much superior" QB and the stats are in the pudding, but really he's only been real good on final drives. Only ways Cincy have a chance honestly are if they win the turnover battle, force Sanchez to take shots downfield and if they get the ball last ha. I don't see either 3 happening so...NY Jets 17 Cincinnati 9

Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) @ Dallas Cowboys: No NFC team comes in hotter than the Cowboys...yet for some reason I still cannot trust them, especially since now they've probably earned the trust of the nation once again. The Eagles didn't really show much in week 17 especially defensively; you hardly saw any blitzes being dialed up and their big play was completely taken away. That being said, it's real hard to beat a team 3x in a season. Philadelphia 27 Dallas 23

Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots (-3.5): As much as I hate the Pats obviously, they're 8-0 at home. The weather suits Baltimore's run game no doubt, but Tom Brady airs it out in the cold, heat, sun, snow , it doesn't matter. And against a vulnerable & inexperienced Baltimore secondary that'll be the difference. Baltimore isn't built to come from behind. New England 27 Baltimore 17

Green Bay Packers @ Arizona Cardinals (+1): I noticed that the line shifted 2.5 points towards the Cheeseheads, indicating that the nation still has no respect for the Cardinals. Not so fast. Look closely at Green Bay's 11 wins. TWO were against playoff teams (DAL & BAL at home). The other 9? Rams, Browns, Lions x2, Bears x2, Seahawks, 49ers and the B-Team Cards. Other than the Niners, none of those are impressive whatsoever. But hey, they've feasted on the poor teams unlike this team from Pittsburgh. Anyways...the Packers have struggled against the elite teams this year especially defensively. Kurt Warner is gonna get his. Aaron Rodgers will too as he always does, but the Cheeseheads find themselves on the short end of the stick. Arizona 31 Green Bay 24

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