NFL Week 16 Bettors Guide.

Last Week: 11-5 straight up; 7-6-3 against the spread

Overall: 60-32-1 straight up; 44-42-3 against the spread

Tonight-
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+6): This line varies depending on what Sportsbook you use, this is the line I get on mine...it goes up to 6 or even 6.5 in others. Jacksonville may be done; but they like to play up to their level of competition and they always play Indy tough. They even beat them earlier in the year on the road...but we're talking about 2 teams going in opposite directions. With that said however, the Colts have had a tough time putting their opponents away recently and have failed to cover in 2 of their last 3 (Lions and Browns). I don't see this game being any different, with Jacksonville pulling off the upset. Jacksonville 23 Indianapolis 20

Saturday-
Baltimore Ravens (+4) @ Dallas Cowboys: This is an interesting one...potentially the last game ever played at Texas Stadium and all. The Ravens are coming off of a hard-fought but heartbreaking loss to the Steelers, while the Cowboys' defense stepped it up a few notches by giving the Giants fits. Some people think this is gonna be a high scoring one, but with Dallas' defense much improved, and the Ravens' D being nasty (and Marion Barber clearly wasn't at 100% last week; not even mentioning Tony Romo being knocked around like a pinata), I can't see it. The Cowboys win...but the Ravens cover. Dallas 20 Baltimore 17

Sunday's 1pm Slate-
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions (+7): Call me crazy but any time you have a team that barely plays a lick of defense like the Saints do, it does give even a team like the Lions a shot...to cover. Drew Brees is prone to the INT...but the Lions don't know how to force turnovers so there goes that one. On the opposite side of the spectrum, who's gonna stop Calvin Johnson? Fireworks go off in this one. New Orleans 34 Detroit 28

Pittsburgh Steelers (-2) @ Tennessee Titans: If Kerry Collins couldn't get anything started on the TEXANS' defense...how do you expect him to fare against this ferocious unit (especially if White-Johnson get shut down)? Not having Albert Haynesworth is gonna kill the Titans and their shot at a #1 seed in the playoffs. Pittsburgh 20 Tennessee 7

San Francisco 49ers (-5.5) @ St. Louis Rams: The Niners obliterated the Rams in SF 38-16 last meeting and it really wasn't even that close...as the Niners raced to a 35-3 halftime lead. The Rams make anybody competent and they've already gone through their quota for the month for hard-fought games. Meanwhile, the future looks pretty bright for the Niners with Shaun Hill at the helm. San Francisco 27 St. Louis 14

Cincinnati Bengals (+3) @ Cleveland Browns: I pity those who have to watch this game. This will be a far cry from that shootout they had two or so years ago...the over/under is around 32! That's what happens when you have the 30th (Browns) and 32nd (Bengals) ranked offenses battling each other. Only difference? The Bengals appeared to have snapped out of their funk last week (they were outscored 69-6 in their previous 2 games) with their upset victory (I called it)...while the Browns are just dying for their season to end. Another victory for the Bengals, who will avoid being swept. Cincinnati 13 Cleveland 10

Miami Dolphins (-4) @ Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs are feisty. One feisty bunch I tell you. But there comes a point in time where they get a reality check, and it'll come this Sunday at home. The Dolphins aren't spectacular in any way shape or form...but they haven't allowed a TD in 3 games believe it or not. The Chiefs have trouble stopping a paper bag from going 10 yards. They'll get theirs and it'll be enough to cover. Miami 24 Kansas City 17

Arizona Cardinals @ New England Patriots (-7.5): A storm system's supposed to hit the Northeast on Sunday and it could have a profound impact on this game...especially with the snow/rain chances. Nevertheless, you know the drill when it comes to Arizona and the East Coast- BET AGAINST THEM. Besides, the Cardinals seem disinterested in the regular season at this point, while the Pats are fighting for their playoff lives. Bad combo. New England 38 Arizona 20

San Diego Chargers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5): See, you would assume OK, the Bucs may be without Jeff Garcia and the Chargers look like they're finally playing the way they're supposed to be that this should be a Chargers victory. Not so fast, the Bucs are 6-0 at home, the Chargers are traveling to the East, and the Chargers have had difficulty in games against teams not as talented as them all year. Bye bye playoffs. Tampa Bay 23 San Diego 17

Sunday's 4pm/815pm Slate-
Houston Texans (-7) @ Oakland Raiders: I went with the Raiders to cover the past 3 weeks and they've fallen flat on their face. Now they're taking on a streaking Texans team that is looking to finish with their first winning season in franchise history and are clicking on all cylinders. Bad combo. Houston 27 Oakland 10

New York Jets @ Seattle Seahawks (+4.5): Fuckin Jets and the West Coast. They haven't won out there yet. Seattle meanwhile has been playing better recently and in this one, they're gonna blow a chance at a top 5 pick with an upset, because the Jets' playcalling sucks. GIVE THOMAS JONES THE F'N BALL! Seattle 21 NY Jets 13

Buffalo Bills (+6.5) @ Denver Broncos: Impossible to get a read on the Broncos these days. But they'll back into the playoffs here. JP Losman is a lost cause (although he's my savior for what he did last week in the Jets game) and the Bills contrary to popular belief did not give up (at least offensively) on their season. Should be a high scoring one. Denver 31 Buffalo 27

Atlanta Falcons @ Minnesota Vikings (-3): Michael Turner vs. Adrian Peterson. Now that's what I'm talking about. Peterson, who leads the NFL in rushing yards by 160 over Turner, can effectively not only clinch the title here on Sunday, but also the NFC North. I hate going against Atlanta because they've proven me wrong all year, but being at home and knowing what's at stake here; I gotta go with my instincts all along and that's with the Vikings winning a good one. Minnesota 24 Atlanta 20

Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins (+5): The Eagles are flying high after their beatdown of the hapless Browns, while the Redskins made it an imperfect 0-4 ATS/1-3 SU stretch against the AFC North by embarassing themselves against the Bengals. I think the Redskins come out ready to fight for everything they have left on the table and pull off the upset...but they'll think back to losing to the Bengals AND Rams and see why they're not in the playoff hunt. Washington 20 Philadelphia 17

Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants (-3): Another Sunday night game for the Giants huh? Well, this game is gonna determine home-field throughout...and considering the Panthers are 8-0 at home and the Giants are 6-1...the stakes are HUGE. The difference in this one is that the Panthers' defense is more susceptible against the run than the Giants' one is...and with Brandon Jacobs returning, that will lift the Giants over the top. I don't expect the QB play to factor much into this, as it could snow and temperatures hovering around 30 at kickoff. NY Giants 23 Carolina 17

Monday-
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears (-4): I give up on the Packers, and while the Bears don't impress me at all...I take them more seriously than I can the Packers. Packers will have to wait until December 28th to finally get their victory. Oh, and the Bears will be fully rested, playing for the first time since last THURSDAY. Chicago 24 Green Bay 16

And so on.