NFL Week 15 Bettors Guide.

Last Week: 11-5 straight up; 8-7 against the spread (No Line in the Vikings-Lions game)

Overall: 50-27-1 straight up; 37-36 against the spread

Tonight-
New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears (-3): There is a LOT riding on this game. The winner will still be very much alive in the NFC race while the loser will be all but done for (especially in the Saints' case). Given how inconsistent both defenses are and of course with Drew Brees in the house- expect points to be scored (don't be fooled by the expected 20 degree temperature at kickoff- they've played in the cold 2 times in a row and both times the total went over). I think for the 3rd straight time the Bears will be able to hold the Saints at bay. Chicago 31 New Orleans 27

Sunday's 1pm Games-
Detroit Lions @ Indianapolis Colts (-17): Good lord what a line. Daunte Culpepper might be out for this one after he injured his shoulder in the last game...leaving the immortal Drew Staton as the starter. Peyton Manning is a little better than Tavares Jackson/Gus Ferrorte... The Lions have allowed 28+ in all 3 of their games against AFC South competition this year and this will be #4. Indianapolis 38 Detroit 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (-3): The Bucs cannot be happy about their Monday Night performance whatsoever against those Panthers; simply being bullied by their running game. It gets no easier facing the NFL TD leader in Michael Turner and this explosive Falcons' offense. You just cannot ignore the NFC South's 23-2 home record this year...and of course the Falcons looking to extract revenge from their last game, where Matt Ryan was abysmal. Atlanta 27 Tampa Bay 20

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans (+3): Houston is on a midst of another late-season hard charge. A win here effectively will keep them out of the cellar for this year. Tennessee in the meantime has already wrapped up the division and a first round bye. A win here will all but lock up homefield throughout. They dominated Houston in their last meeting...but why is the line so low? Houston especially in December has a propensity to play really tough down to the last second- and remember last year when they nearly came back from 25 down to win; only to be thwarted by Rob Bironas. Something tells me Bironas will factor in this yet again. Tennessee 26 Houston 24

Washington Redskins @ Cincinnati Bengals (+7): The Bengals are 3-0 ATS versus the NFC East actually; whilst the Redskins are 0-3 ATS versus the AFC North. Washington has become ridiculously one-dimensional relying solely on Clinton Portis. Cincy was torched by the Colts last week but that was to be expected- Washington doesn't nearly have the firepower to threaten this defense (which isn't really that bad). The dreadful Ryan Fitzpatrick led offense though...Dear God. This will be a snoozer and something tells me somehow...the Bengals will win. Cincinnati 16 Washington 13.

Seattle Seahawks (-3) @ St. Louis Rams: Does there really have to be a winner here? At least in Seattle's case they put up a fight and nearly upset the Patriots. The Rams meanwhile got outscored by the Cardinals' defense last week. I feel pity for those who need to watch this game; and for Marc Bulger as well since he'll lose to the legend of Seneca Wallace. Seattle 24 St. Louis 13

Green Bay Packers (-1.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars: There isn't a team that has fallen off more within the past month more than the Packers. 3 straight losses leave them all but dead in the NFC race. At least they play an equally as pathetic team as these Jaguars- who are just injury-ravaged and may not even play with Fred Taylor for the rest of the year due to a thumb injury. At least we know both team will play hard... Green Bay 23 Jacksonville 16

San Francisco 49ers (+6.5) @ Miami Dolphins: You're thinking to yourself WHY IS HE GIVING THE NINERS POINTS WHEN THEY'RE A WEST-COAST TEAM? Think about this: The Niners are 2-1 ATS/SU against the AFC East, and even won at Buffalo the other week. What's even worse...the Dolphins are 0-3 ATS against the NFC West on the year and the two teams who have come from the west to face them (Oakland, Seattle) they have defeated them by a combined 3 points. They don't handle being big favorites well. These Niners are feisty and they may even pull off the upset. But the Dolphins know what's good...unlike the Jets. Miami 20 San Francisco 17

Buffalo Bills (+7.5) @ New York Jets: These Jets have been abysmal these past couple of weeks in their losses to Denver and San Francisco. Eric Mangini is a bitch-made dude who you can't draw ANY inspiration over and you can tell that this team only plays to the level of their competition...which is dangerous against a team like Buffalo...which has fallen like a rock and will likely play with JP Losman again. They better get their act together on some real shit. I don't think they will. Upset alert. Buffalo 24 NY Jets 14

San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs (+5.5): The Chiefs almost pulled off an epic stunner at San Diego the last time these teams squared off...and as a matter of fact if it wasn't for a botched extra point snap...that would have been the case. We all know Herm Edwards plays to win the game, even if the Chargers up until last week haven't. They FINALLY looked like world-beaters...against Oakland. If they really expect to make their last-second charge (no pun intended) it starts now against a putrid defense in KC. But KC will get theirs too. San Diego 31 Kansas City 27

Sunday's 4/815pm Games:
Minnesota Vikings @ Arizona Cardinals (-3): This is gonna be a good one; and it's also important, more so for playoff positioning (3 seed). It's a battle of strengths; can the Cards stop the Vikings' rushing attack at all? Can the Vikings stop the Cardinals' passing attack at all? The Cards have proven they can slow down a running game- when they played the Giants a few weeks back...and the thing with the Vikes is their passing attack is very meager. The Cards got this, being at home and all. Arizona 30 Minnesota 17

Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers (-7.5): I'm not sure what made this game 415pm worthy (maybe to give the Broncos a chance to wake up?) but whatever. Anyhow, the Broncos are gonna find it hard pressed to stop Carolina's rushing attack...if Tampa Bay couldn't do it then my God. These Broncos have proven us wrong before though with wins @ Atlanta and the Jets...and with a passing game that they have they will put up points on the board (Antonio Bryant went bonkers last week and I don't see why Brandon Marshall can't do the same). Ultimately though Carolina will be too much in what will be a higher scoring game than people think. Carolina 38 Denver 28

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens (-2.5): If you want a physical as all hell game with some bad blood stewing and first place in a division (and likely a first round bye along with it) on the line...this is your game right here. Both defenses do not give up an inch whatsoever. Field position is gonna be absolutely key and I think it's gonna be a matter of which safety makes the most impact: Troy Polamalu or Ed Reed. I give the Ravens the edge being at home. Baltimore 17 Pittsburgh 10

New England Patriots @ Oakland Raiders (+7.5): The Pats stay out in the west coast this week and Matt Cassell learned that his father has died. His status for the game on Sunday is in limbo but one thing that's not in limbo is how dreadful Oakland's offense has been. Their only TD last week at San Diego was via a kickoff return...but these Pats aren't that good. Oakland might be able to hang with them for a little...but there's no way they should win. New England 20 Oakland 13

New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys (-3): This is a season-defining game for both teams. Both teams are coming off of bad losses- the Giants being pushed around by the Eagles 20-14 (the score was much closer than the actual gameplay); while the Cowboys blew their game @ Pittsburgh in the last minutes of the game. The Giants have won the NFC East...but suddenly homefield advantage throughout doesn't look so certain. The Cowboys are desperately not only trying to seek revenge from the 35-14 napalming they received in Jersey...but are also trying to keep a hold of their 5 seed. Romo tends to play well against the Giants (in the regular season) and I think the Cowboys' players will heed the message. The New York Media is gonna panic on Monday...over a soon to be 11-3 team...ridiculous. Dallas 31 NY Giants 24

Monday Night-
Cleveland Browns (+14) @ Philadelphia Eagles: The Browns have played their best on Monday Night Football actually hah. They're 2-0 SU/ATS this year...including the biggest shock of the season thus far- the 35-14 beatdown of the Giants. But seriously...who in the blue hell runs the Browns' offense right now? Ken Dorsey. Christ. The Eagles have finally figured out their offense begins and ends with gettin my main man Brian Westbrook the ball all day, everyday in every which way. The Browns' will show up again on MNF...but this time will lose. Philadelphia 31 Cleveland 20

And so on.